Minority Report

Greenfield, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Adair County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°0%
German model (ICON)43°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average42°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°22°0%
US model (GFS)38°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°28°0%
German model (ICON)39°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°20°0%
The average40°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°18°0%
The average44°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°27°0%
German model (ICON)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°18°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.