Minority Report

Greenfield, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dade County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°34°0%
The average56°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°25°0%
The average46°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°2%
US model (GFS)51°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)51°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°17°0%
The average50°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°8%
US model (GFS)55°34°7%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°3%
German model (ICON)56°31°12%
Canadian model (GEM)53°28°11%
The average54°32°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.