Minority Report

Greensboro, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hale County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 8%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)71°51°3%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°33%
German model (ICON)69°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°52°6%
The average70°49°8%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)55°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°38°0%
The average56°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°0%
The average56°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°37°6%
US model (GFS)60°38°2%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°2%
German model (ICON)60°32°7%
Canadian model (GEM)57°34°0%
The average59°36°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.