Minority Report

Greensburg, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kiowa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)64°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)63°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°37°0%
The average64°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°1%
US model (GFS)52°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°31°0%
The average52°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 81%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 81%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°92%
US model (GFS)50°31°71%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°89%
German model (ICON)50°32°63%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°88%
The average49°33°81%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 38°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 82%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°53%
US model (GFS)44°39°89%
European model (ECMWF)43°40°98%
German model (ICON)43°38°75%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°95%
The average43°38°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.