Minority Report

Greensburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Green County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 41°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 45%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°20%
US model (GFS)56°43°22%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°53%
German model (ICON)57°42°65%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°67%
The average57°41°45%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 47%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°58%
US model (GFS)44°35°25%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°76%
German model (ICON)45°36°28%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°49%
The average45°34°47%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°4%
German model (ICON)48°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°5%
The average49°29°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°19°0%
The average52°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.