Minority Report

Greensburg, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Helena Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)75°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°56°0%
German model (ICON)75°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°55°0%
The average75°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°35°0%
US model (GFS)65°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°45°0%
German model (ICON)65°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°49°0%
The average66°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°37°0%
US model (GFS)63°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°40°0%
German model (ICON)62°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°0%
The average62°38°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 42°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 33%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°43°41%
US model (GFS)65°40°27%
European model (ECMWF)63°43°55%
German model (ICON)64°39°34%
Canadian model (GEM)63°44°8%
The average64°42°33%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.