Minority Report

Greensburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Westmoreland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°41%
US model (GFS)49°40°91%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°41°100%
The average50°39°86%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°25%
US model (GFS)40°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°29%
German model (ICON)41°33°75%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°29%
The average42°32°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°58%
US model (GFS)40°33°47%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°43%
German model (ICON)42°33°40%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°78%
The average42°33°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 46%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°32%
US model (GFS)43°37°40%
European model (ECMWF)43°39°45%
German model (ICON)46°38°35%
Canadian model (GEM)41°30°78%
The average44°35°46%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.