Minority Report

Greenville, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)72°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°0%
German model (ICON)70°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°52°0%
The average71°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°0%
German model (ICON)55°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°35°0%
The average56°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°0%
US model (GFS)56°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°31°0%
The average54°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 39°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°24%
US model (GFS)61°42°25%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°24%
German model (ICON)60°39°42%
Canadian model (GEM)58°35°11%
The average58°39°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.