Minority Report

Greenville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pitt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°27%
US model (GFS)73°52°26%
European model (ECMWF)71°51°16%
German model (ICON)72°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°51°14%
The average72°50°17%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°20%
US model (GFS)58°45°32%
European model (ECMWF)58°45°29%
German model (ICON)60°41°13%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°2%
The average60°42°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°26%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°20%
German model (ICON)54°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°5%
The average54°35°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°29°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.