Minority Report

Greenville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Darke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 69%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°76%
US model (GFS)47°40°41%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°88%
German model (ICON)48°40°53%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°88%
The average48°39°69%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°21%
US model (GFS)41°32°31%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°84%
German model (ICON)42°33°43%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°90%
The average41°33°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°1%
US model (GFS)42°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°2%
German model (ICON)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°26°0%
The average43°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°2%
German model (ICON)47°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°0%
The average46°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.