Minority Report

Greenville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hunt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)77°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°0%
German model (ICON)76°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°48°0%
The average76°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°42°1%
US model (GFS)65°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°0%
German model (ICON)64°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°46°0%
The average65°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 43°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 34%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°43°53%
US model (GFS)63°42°16%
European model (ECMWF)59°45°50%
German model (ICON)59°42°40%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°10%
The average61°43°34%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 43°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 91%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°42°89%
US model (GFS)54°43°80%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°98%
German model (ICON)50°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°41°90%
The average51°43°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.