Minority Report

Groesbeck, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Limestone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°0%
German model (ICON)76°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°51°0%
The average77°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°47°0%
US model (GFS)74°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°52°0%
German model (ICON)69°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°44°0%
The average72°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 48°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 36%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°48°47%
US model (GFS)67°47°22%
European model (ECMWF)68°50°57%
German model (ICON)60°47°50%
Canadian model (GEM)68°50°6%
The average66°48°36%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 48°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 87%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°46°86%
US model (GFS)60°50°71%
European model (ECMWF)56°48°98%
German model (ICON)53°48°88%
Canadian model (GEM)59°48°90%
The average57°48°87%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.