Grundy, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Buchanan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 42° Rain 89%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 40 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 60% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 44° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 44° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 44° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 42° | 89% |
High 45° Low 36° Rain 78%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 28° | 65% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 37° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 37° | 90% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 78% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 33° | 80% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 33° | 58% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 45% |
High 46° Low 32° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 32° | 7% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 39° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 33° | 6% |
| The average | 46° | 32° | 3% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.