Minority Report

Guayama Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Guayama Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 53%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°30%
US model (GFS)87°76°42%
European model (ECMWF)90°78°100%
German model (ICON)87°77°60%
Canadian model (GEM)90°77°33%
The average89°77°53%

Friday, November 13

High 87°   Low 78°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°78°50%
US model (GFS)86°77°39%
European model (ECMWF)89°78°94%
German model (ICON)87°80°33%
Canadian model (GEM)85°78°95%
The average87°78°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 78°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°77°50%
US model (GFS)86°77°48%
European model (ECMWF)87°78°96%
German model (ICON)86°81°34%
Canadian model (GEM)84°78°93%
The average86°78°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 75°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°75°6%
US model (GFS)87°75°4%
European model (ECMWF)89°75°14%
German model (ICON)87°77°13%
Canadian model (GEM)86°74°14%
The average87°75°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.