Minority Report

Guayanilla Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Guayanilla Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 88°   Low 79°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 99 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 34%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—79°20%
US model (GFS)88°78°13%
European model (ECMWF)87°79°99%
German model (ICON)87°80°40%
Canadian model (GEM)90°79°0%
The average88°79°34%

Friday, November 13

High 87°   Low 80°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°79°40%
US model (GFS)86°81°42%
European model (ECMWF)87°79°90%
German model (ICON)87°81°13%
Canadian model (GEM)88°80°5%
The average87°80°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 80°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 93 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 35%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°78°30%
US model (GFS)87°81°49%
European model (ECMWF)86°78°93%
German model (ICON)86°82°5%
Canadian model (GEM)84°79°0%
The average86°80°35%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 78°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°76°4%
US model (GFS)88°77°14%
European model (ECMWF)87°78°44%
German model (ICON)88°80°5%
Canadian model (GEM)86°78°5%
The average87°78°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.