Guildhall, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Essex County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 42° Low 30° Rain 25%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 26° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 32° | 57% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 29° | 19% |
| The average | 42° | 30° | 25% |
High 40° Low 28° Rain 7%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 23° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 27° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 31° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 27° | 6% |
| The average | 40° | 28° | 7% |
High 39° Low 30° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 25° | 53% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 30° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 32° | 75% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 33° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 29° | 58% |
| The average | 39° | 30° | 52% |
High 38° Low 30° Rain 36%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 24° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 31° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 33° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 34° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 26° | 56% |
| The average | 38° | 30° | 36% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.