Minority Report

Guilford County, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Guilford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 45°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)68°47°16%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°10%
German model (ICON)67°44°35%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°10%
The average67°45°14%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°15%
US model (GFS)53°39°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°16%
German model (ICON)55°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°0%
The average55°39°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°2%
German model (ICON)51°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°0%
The average52°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average55°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.