Minority Report

Gunnison, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gunnison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—19°0%
US model (GFS)58°20°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°27°0%
German model (ICON)55°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°16°0%
The average53°21°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 25°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°23°48%
US model (GFS)57°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
German model (ICON)53°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°14°0%
The average53°25°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 27°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°24°81%
US model (GFS)42°31°56%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°61%
German model (ICON)47°29°43%
Canadian model (GEM)45°22°55%
The average45°27°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 25°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°21°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°4%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°28°1%
Canadian model (GEM)44°17°0%
The average46°25°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.