Minority Report

Gurabo Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gurabo Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 74°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 32%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—74°30%
US model (GFS)88°75°26%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°91%
German model (ICON)89°74°15%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°0%
The average89°74°32%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 76°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°74°30%
US model (GFS)87°75°23%
European model (ECMWF)88°77°45%
German model (ICON)89°78°3%
Canadian model (GEM)89°76°0%
The average88°76°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°73°40%
US model (GFS)87°76°20%
European model (ECMWF)88°78°81%
German model (ICON)90°80°8%
Canadian model (GEM)91°77°0%
The average89°77°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 89°   Low 73°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°73°2%
US model (GFS)87°74°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°75°1%
German model (ICON)91°72°0%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°0%
The average89°73°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.