Minority Report

Guthrie, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)67°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°43°0%
German model (ICON)68°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°39°0%
The average67°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°0%
US model (GFS)54°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average55°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°40°69%
US model (GFS)57°35°37%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°67%
German model (ICON)57°34°54%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°59%
The average57°36°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°89%
US model (GFS)49°42°87%
European model (ECMWF)47°43°90%
German model (ICON)47°41°87%
Canadian model (GEM)43°39°88%
The average46°40°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.