Minority Report

Guthrie, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of King County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)76°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°46°0%
German model (ICON)76°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°46°0%
The average76°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°47°2%
US model (GFS)66°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°0%
German model (ICON)62°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°43°0%
The average64°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 46°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°49°84%
US model (GFS)65°42°87%
European model (ECMWF)54°48°100%
German model (ICON)53°48°93%
Canadian model (GEM)57°46°90%
The average57°46°91%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 44°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 17°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°42°32%
US model (GFS)69°47°87%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°98%
German model (ICON)51°44°85%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°67%
The average57°44°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.