Minority Report

Guymon, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Texas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)72°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°42°0%
German model (ICON)70°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°41°0%
The average71°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°3%
US model (GFS)62°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°0%
German model (ICON)57°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average60°37°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 89%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°90%
US model (GFS)49°37°91%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°100%
German model (ICON)48°41°90%
Canadian model (GEM)44°40°75%
The average47°39°89%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°21%
US model (GFS)49°41°91%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°97%
German model (ICON)44°41°93%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°76%
The average45°39°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.