Minority Report

Hackensack, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bergen County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 46°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°92%
US model (GFS)58°47°97%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°100%
German model (ICON)57°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)59°47°100%
The average58°46°98%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 96%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°35°95%
US model (GFS)47°37°83%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°100%
German model (ICON)48°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°100%
The average47°36°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°1%
US model (GFS)44°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°6%
German model (ICON)46°37°45%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°19%
The average45°35°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°0%
US model (GFS)46°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°2%
German model (ICON)49°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°0%
The average48°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.