Hagerstown, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 60° Low 44° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 44° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 46° | 59% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 46° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 46° | 48% |
| The average | 60° | 44° | 44% |
High 46° Low 37° Rain 34%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 19% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 41° | 63% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 41° | 33% |
| The average | 46° | 37° | 34% |
High 47° Low 35° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 34° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 37° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 34° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 39° | 13% |
| The average | 47° | 35° | 6% |
High 49° Low 37° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 39° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 37° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.