Minority Report

Haines Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Haines Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 30°   Low 23°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 84%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service26°20°21%
US model (GFS)30°21°100%
European model (ECMWF)29°24°100%
German model (ICON)31°28°100%
Canadian model (GEM)31°24°100%
The average30°23°84%

Friday, November 13

High 28°   Low 23°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 88%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service26°24°80%
US model (GFS)26°20°75%
European model (ECMWF)30°25°100%
German model (ICON)29°26°90%
Canadian model (GEM)29°20°95%
The average28°23°88%

Saturday, November 14

High 33°   Low 27°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 92%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service29°22°74%
US model (GFS)30°25°95%
European model (ECMWF)35°31°100%
German model (ICON)34°28°93%
Canadian model (GEM)37°27°100%
The average33°27°92%

Sunday, November 15

High 33°   Low 27°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service28°25°74%
US model (GFS)32°26°58%
European model (ECMWF)33°29°95%
German model (ICON)37°31°90%
Canadian model (GEM)35°26°81%
The average33°27°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.