Minority Report

Halifax, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Halifax County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 43°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 25%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°3%
US model (GFS)68°44°25%
European model (ECMWF)68°47°39%
German model (ICON)67°41°45%
Canadian model (GEM)70°43°14%
The average69°43°25%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°28°8%
US model (GFS)54°38°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°22%
German model (ICON)56°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)58°43°5%
The average56°38°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°26°2%
US model (GFS)53°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°2%
German model (ICON)51°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°0%
The average52°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°26°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average55°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.