Minority Report

Hallettsville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lavaca County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)77°58°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°59°0%
German model (ICON)77°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°53°0%
The average76°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°52°0%
US model (GFS)75°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)78°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°47°0%
The average76°52°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 71°   Low 54°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°58°46%
US model (GFS)69°53°21%
European model (ECMWF)72°55°71%
German model (ICON)66°53°53%
Canadian model (GEM)80°48°10%
The average71°54°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 56°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 81%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°54°83%
US model (GFS)77°60°61%
European model (ECMWF)71°56°88%
German model (ICON)72°55°84%
Canadian model (GEM)72°56°90%
The average72°56°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.