Minority Report

Hamilton, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ravalli County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°44°0%
German model (ICON)62°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°0%
The average59°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°32%
US model (GFS)59°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°0%
German model (ICON)62°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°0%
The average59°39°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°32%
US model (GFS)50°35°22%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°51%
German model (ICON)51°38°39%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°50%
The average49°32°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 6%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 6%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°22%
US model (GFS)54°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)56°34°2%
German model (ICON)56°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)52°22°0%
The average53°31°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.