Minority Report

Hamilton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Butler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°66%
US model (GFS)51°39°25%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°79%
German model (ICON)54°42°43%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°79%
The average52°40°58%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°33%
US model (GFS)43°34°21%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°69%
German model (ICON)44°36°40%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°66%
The average44°35°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°1%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°0%
The average46°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°2%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average49°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.