Minority Report

Hamilton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamilton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)75°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°49°0%
German model (ICON)77°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°48°0%
The average76°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°46°0%
US model (GFS)68°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°0%
German model (ICON)71°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°45°0%
The average70°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 48°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°48°69%
US model (GFS)64°45°35%
European model (ECMWF)63°49°83%
German model (ICON)57°48°85%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°25%
The average62°48°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 47°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 86%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°44°89%
US model (GFS)63°48°61%
European model (ECMWF)57°47°92%
German model (ICON)52°47°93%
Canadian model (GEM)61°47°93%
The average58°47°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.