Minority Report

Hamlin, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°65%
US model (GFS)54°44°91%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°100%
German model (ICON)57°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°43°100%
The average55°42°91%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°37%
US model (GFS)46°36°46%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°96%
German model (ICON)46°37°75%
Canadian model (GEM)49°38°67%
The average48°35°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°1%
US model (GFS)46°34°14%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°20%
German model (ICON)45°34°18%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°14%
The average46°34°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°7%
German model (ICON)49°37°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°33°0%
The average48°35°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.