Hampden County, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hampden County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 46° Low 41° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 42° | 85% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 43° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 43° | 99% |
| The average | 46° | 41° | 95% |
High 42° Low 34° Rain 93%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 33° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 34° | 89% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 29° | 100% |
| The average | 42° | 34° | 93% |
High 44° Low 31° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 19% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 32° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 27° | 6% |
| The average | 44° | 31° | 7% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.