Hanover, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hanover County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 69° Low 45° Rain 18%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 48° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 69° | 46° | 39% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 45° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 47° | 5% |
| The average | 69° | 45° | 18% |
High 53° Low 36° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 32° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 36° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 40° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 36° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 38° | 2% |
| The average | 53° | 36° | 4% |
High 52° Low 33° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 32° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 37° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 36° | 5% |
| The average | 52° | 33° | 2% |
High 54° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.