Minority Report

Hardin, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Big Horn County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)64°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°38°0%
German model (ICON)62°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°0%
The average62°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°30°0%
US model (GFS)59°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°0%
The average58°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°33°0%
US model (GFS)61°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°34°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average59°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°30°0%
US model (GFS)60°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°37°0%
German model (ICON)59°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°27°0%
The average59°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.