Hardinsburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Breckinridge County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 54° Low 37° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 37° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 40° | 78% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 38° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 36° | 38% |
| The average | 54° | 37° | 45% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 18%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 33° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 36° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 33° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 34° | 14% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 18% |
High 49° Low 29° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 32° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 31° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 29° | 1% |
High 52° Low 29° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 21° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 29° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.