Harlan, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harlan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 54° Low 42° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 43° | 73% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 43° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 54° | 42° | 85% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 77%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 29° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 53% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 37° | 90% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 77% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 29° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 30° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 32° | 19% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 31° | 48% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 28% |
High 48° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.