Minority Report

Harrisburg, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Poinsett County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)63°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average64°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°32°0%
The average51°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°34°0%
US model (GFS)51°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°0%
The average51°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°38°6%
US model (GFS)56°38°5%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°1%
German model (ICON)58°32°4%
Canadian model (GEM)56°26°4%
The average56°34°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.