Minority Report

Harrisburg, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Saline County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 9%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°1%
US model (GFS)55°36°4%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°16%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°14%
The average56°36°9%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°7%
US model (GFS)43°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°33°0%
The average46°32°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average50°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°18°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.