Harrisburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dauphin County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 42° Rain 84%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 57% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 42° | 70% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 57° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 43° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 42° | 84% |
High 43° Low 37° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 33° | 61% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 36° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 39° | 90% |
| The average | 43° | 37° | 72% |
High 46° Low 36° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 35° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 36° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 38° | 20% |
| The average | 46° | 36° | 8% |
High 48° Low 37° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 37° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 37° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.