Minority Report

Harrison, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Boone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)60°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°0%
The average59°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°0%
German model (ICON)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average49°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°2%
US model (GFS)51°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 18%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°15%
US model (GFS)55°35°18%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°11%
German model (ICON)56°34°17%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°30%
The average53°33°18%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.