Minority Report

Harrisonburg, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Catahoula Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)76°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°55°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°54°0%
The average75°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°36°0%
US model (GFS)60°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°0%
German model (ICON)61°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°40°0%
The average62°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°1%
US model (GFS)61°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°0%
German model (ICON)59°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°0%
The average60°37°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 41°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 58%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°42°56%
US model (GFS)65°43°46%
European model (ECMWF)58°44°69%
German model (ICON)56°40°61%
Canadian model (GEM)62°38°60%
The average61°41°58%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.