Minority Report

Harrisonburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harrisonburg city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 75 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°8%
US model (GFS)61°38°18%
German model (ICON)61°46°80%
Canadian model (GEM)60°40°5%
The average61°40°28%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°8%
US model (GFS)47°34°3%
German model (ICON)48°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average48°32°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°5%
US model (GFS)46°27°2%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°0%
The average46°28°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°28°0%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°25°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.