Minority Report

Harrisonville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cass County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average50°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°24°0%
US model (GFS)41°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average44°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°1%
US model (GFS)49°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)49°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°19°0%
The average48°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°3%
US model (GFS)54°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°28°5%
Canadian model (GEM)51°24°5%
The average52°29°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.