Harrisville, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Alcona County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 46° Low 37° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 35° | 52% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 40° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 37° | 72% |
| The average | 46° | 37° | 81% |
High 39° Low 34° Rain 71%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 31° | 76% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 33° | 44% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 33° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 37° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 35° | 57% |
| The average | 39° | 34° | 71% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 33%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 37° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 36° | 10% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 33% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 31° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 33° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.