Minority Report

Harrisville, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ritchie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 89%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°72%
US model (GFS)49°42°75%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°100%
German model (ICON)50°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°100%
The average50°40°89%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°22%
US model (GFS)44°32°39%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°95%
German model (ICON)45°35°73%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°90%
The average46°34°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°3%
US model (GFS)44°32°17%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°8%
German model (ICON)45°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°19%
The average45°32°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°2%
German model (ICON)48°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°10%
The average47°34°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.