Hartford City, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Blackford County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 38° Rain 80%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 58% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 40° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 99% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 39° | 99% |
| The average | 48° | 38° | 80% |
High 42° Low 31° Rain 38%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 33° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 33° | 49% |
| The average | 42° | 31° | 38% |
High 43° Low 29° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 28° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 24° | 5% |
| The average | 43° | 29° | 4% |
High 46° Low 33° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 30° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 39° | 4% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 26° | 2% |
| The average | 46° | 33° | 4% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.