Hartford, CT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Capitol Planning Region.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 50° Low 42° Rain 96%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 43° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 44° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 43° | 99% |
| The average | 50° | 42° | 96% |
High 44° Low 35° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 34° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 90% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 37° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 35° | 94% |
High 45° Low 32° Rain 8%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 32° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 33° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 31° | 6% |
| The average | 45° | 32° | 8% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.