Minority Report

Hartsville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Trousdale County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 40%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°4%
US model (GFS)59°42°14%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°75%
German model (ICON)59°43°45%
Canadian model (GEM)59°40°62%
The average59°39°40%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°6%
US model (GFS)43°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°10%
German model (ICON)46°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°5%
The average46°34°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°25°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°20°0%
The average54°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.