Minority Report

Hastings, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°35%
US model (GFS)44°36°84%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°100%
German model (ICON)44°36°78%
Canadian model (GEM)42°36°100%
The average44°35°79%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°12%
US model (GFS)39°32°31%
European model (ECMWF)41°29°39%
German model (ICON)40°31°43%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°24%
The average40°30°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°2%
US model (GFS)42°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°0%
The average44°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average45°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.