Minority Report

Hastings, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dakota County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 29°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°0%
US model (GFS)41°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°8%
German model (ICON)41°31°23%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°10%
The average40°29°8%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°21°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)39°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°21°0%
The average39°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°23°0%
US model (GFS)44°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°28°0%
German model (ICON)43°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°16°0%
The average42°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°12°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.